Vegas Golden Knights at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2024-04-05 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 7 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Win (63% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 37.3%

VGK: 62.7%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.51

VGK: 3.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ARI at home vs VGK: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-05	ARI 7 - 4 VGK	ARI	VGK
2024-02-08	ARI 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2023-11-25	VGK 0 - 2 ARI	ARI	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	21	1	1.26
1	VGK	4	0	0.35
2	ARI	10	0	0.36
2	VGK	23	2	1.93
3	ARI	10	1	0.97
3	VGK	7	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 7 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.5 - 3.4