Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-04-06 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

PIT: 63.4%

TBL: 36.6%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.51

TBL: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 22-16-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.91 GAA

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 37-13-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • PIT at home vs TBL: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	TBL 6 - 3 PIT	TBL	TBL
2026-01-13	PIT 1 - 2 TBL	TBL	PIT
2025-12-04	TBL 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	TBL
2025-03-25	TBL 6 - 1 PIT	TBL	TBL
2025-01-12	PIT 2 - 5 TBL	TBL	PIT

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	04:20	PIT	Goal
2	06:06	PIT	Goal
2	12:15	PIT	Goal
2	14:39	PIT	Goal
2	16:57	PIT	Goal
3	00:25	PIT	Goal
3	07:23	PIT	Goal
3	10:45	PIT	Goal
3	14:32	PIT	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9