St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-04-06 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 53.1%
STL: 46.9%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.80
STL: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-18-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.56 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 21-12-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.56 GAA
| Stat | SJS | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.865 | 0.923 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.892 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SJS at home vs STL: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | SJS 5 - 4 STL | SJS | SJS |
| 2026-03-26 | STL 2 - 1 SJS | STL | STL |
| 2026-03-06 | SJS 2 - 3 STL | STL | SJS |
| 2024-12-12 | STL 3 - 4 SJS | SJS | STL |
| 2024-11-21 | STL 3 - 2 SJS | STL | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 14:42 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 16:59 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 03:21 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 17:31 | SJS | Goal |
| 4 | 03:56 | SJS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 2.8 - 3.1
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