Buffalo Sabres at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-04-07 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 53.1%
BUF: 46.9%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.61
BUF: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 28-20-3 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | DET | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.881 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | 0.789 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • DET at home vs BUF: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | BUF 2 - 5 DET | DET | BUF |
| 2025-11-15 | DET 4 - 5 BUF | BUF | DET |
| 2025-10-22 | BUF 4 - 2 DET | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-12 | DET 7 - 3 BUF | DET | DET |
| 2024-12-09 | BUF 5 - 6 DET | DET | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:53 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 04:24 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 07:37 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 13:16 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 2.6 - 3.1
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