Arizona Coyotes at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-04-07 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 2 - 5 Arizona Coyotes
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 52.2%
ARI: 47.8%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.43
ARI: 3.44
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
ARI
ARI: No goalie data
| Stat | SJS | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.36 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • SJS at home vs ARI: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-07 | SJS 2 - 5 ARI | ARI | SJS |
| 2023-12-21 | SJS 2 - 5 ARI | ARI | SJS |
| 2023-12-15 | ARI 1 - 0 SJS | ARI | ARI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:17 | ARI | Goal |
| 1 | 04:28 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 11:07 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 11:40 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 04:56 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 14:13 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 16:54 | ARI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 2 - 5 Arizona Coyotes
Expected: 2.4 - 3.4