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2025-26 Season Live

Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-04-07 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 4 - 7 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
COL: 62.0%
DAL: 38.0%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.17
DAL: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

COL
Scott Wedgewood - 28-6-6 | 0.918 SV% | 2.13 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 31-12-6 | 0.900 SV% | 2.61 GAA
StatCOLDAL
Season SV%0.9190.907
Last 5 SV%0.9410.854
SV% vs Opponent0.9250.912
GAA2.132.57
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 46% • COL at home vs DAL: 5-7
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-04-04DAL 0 - 2 COLCOLDAL
2026-03-18COL 1 - 2 DALDALCOL
2026-03-06DAL 4 - 5 COLCOLDAL
2025-10-11COL 4 - 5 DALDALCOL
2025-05-03DAL 4 - 2 COLDALDAL

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
101:59COLGoal
117:11COLGoal
119:17DALGoal
204:38COLGoal
211:25DALGoal
212:45DALGoal
217:10DALGoal
219:15DALGoal
310:15DALGoal
315:12DALGoal
319:51DALGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 4 - 7 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8