Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-04-09 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 50.0%
CAR: 50.0%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.15
CAR: 3.33
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 30-17-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 30-6-1 | 0.891 SV% | 2.52 GAA
| Stat | BOS | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.884 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.894 | 0.762 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • BOS at home vs CAR: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | CAR 6 - 5 BOS | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-17 | BOS 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | BOS |
| 2025-11-01 | BOS 2 - 1 CAR | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-04-05 | BOS 5 - 1 CAR | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-03-06 | CAR 3 - 2 BOS | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 10:55 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:05 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:56 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 10:14 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 13:22 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.1 - 3.3
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