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2025-26 Season Live

Philadelphia Flyers at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-04-09 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 9 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
MTL: 55.9%
PHI: 44.1%
Expected Goals
MTL: 6.04
PHI: 3.45
Total Goals
Median: 9.5
Over 5.5: 91%
Over 6.5: 85%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MTL
Jakub Dobes - 28-8-4 | 0.904 SV% | 2.73 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 27-13-7 | 0.907 SV% | 2.40 GAA
StatMTLPHI
Season SV%0.8890.910
Last 5 SV%0.9470.906
SV% vs Opponent0.881
GAA3.012.40
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • MTL at home vs PHI: 3-2
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2025-12-16MTL 1 - 4 PHIPHIMTL
2025-11-04MTL 4 - 5 PHIPHIMTL
2025-04-05MTL 3 - 2 PHIMTLMTL
2025-03-27PHI 6 - 4 MTLPHIPHI
2024-10-27PHI 3 - 4 MTLMTLPHI

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
101:05MTLGoal
208:43MTLGoal
210:46MTLGoal
211:22MTLGoal
212:42MTLGoal
215:27MTLGoal
304:54MTLGoal
310:06MTLGoal
311:19MTLGoal
315:05MTLGoal
317:07MTLGoal
318:17MTLGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 12.0
Expected: 9.5
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 9 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 6.0 - 3.5