New York Rangers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-04-09 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 2 New York Rangers

Win Probability

NYI: 53.9%

NYR: 46.1%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.01

NYR: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs NYR: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	NYR 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYR
2026-01-28	NYI 5 - 2 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-12-27	NYI 2 - 0 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-11-08	NYR 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYR
2025-04-10	NYI 2 - 9 NYR	NYR	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	26	1	2.50
1	NYR	15	0	0.79
2	NYI	9	0	0.09
2	NYR	20	1	1.33
3	NYI	7	1	1.38
3	NYR	21	0	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2