Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2024-04-09 • Amalie Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

TBL: 63.1%

CBJ: 36.9%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.39

CBJ: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • TBL at home vs CBJ: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	TBL 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	TBL
2026-01-24	CBJ 8 - 5 TBL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-18	CBJ 3 - 2 TBL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-04	TBL 6 - 2 CBJ	TBL	TBL
2024-12-17	TBL 5 - 3 CBJ	TBL	TBL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TBL	15	0	0.78
1	CBJ	13	0	0.58
2	TBL	12	0	0.52
2	CBJ	16	1	1.23
3	TBL	16	3	2.16
3	CBJ	17	0	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Tampa Bay Lightning 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8