Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2024-04-09 • Amalie Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 63.6%
CBJ: 36.4%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.57
CBJ: 2.78
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | TBL | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.928 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.870 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.62 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • TBL at home vs CBJ: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | CBJ 8 - 5 TBL | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-10-18 | CBJ 3 - 2 TBL | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-03-04 | TBL 6 - 2 CBJ | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-12-17 | TBL 5 - 3 CBJ | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-11-21 | CBJ 7 - 6 TBL | CBJ | CBJ |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:31 | TBL | Goal |
| 1 | 19:17 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:13 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 14:17 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 05:40 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 05:56 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 17:57 | TBL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Tampa Bay Lightning 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 3.6 - 2.8