Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2024-04-09 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 54.8%
WPG: 45.2%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.42
WPG: 3.08
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 48%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • NSH at home vs WPG: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | WPG 3 - 4 NSH | NSH | WPG |
| 2025-11-29 | NSH 2 - 5 WPG | WPG | NSH |
| 2025-10-18 | WPG 4 - 1 NSH | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-02-27 | NSH 2 - 1 WPG | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-07 | WPG 5 - 2 NSH | WPG | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 20 | 3 | 1.83 |
| 1 | WPG | 12 | 0 | 0.97 |
| 2 | NSH | 28 | 0 | 1.90 |
| 2 | WPG | 8 | 0 | 0.29 |
| 3 | NSH | 15 | 1 | 1.04 |
| 3 | WPG | 8 | 1 | 0.81 |
| 4 | NSH | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 4 | WPG | 3 | 0 | 0.36 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.4 - 3.1
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