Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2024-04-09 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 45.4%
LAK: 54.6%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.05
LAK: 3.47
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 47%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs LAK: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | ANA 2 - 1 LAK | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-01-16 | LAK 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | LAK |
| 2025-12-27 | LAK 6 - 1 ANA | LAK | ANA |
| 2025-11-28 | ANA 5 - 4 LAK | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-04-10 | LAK 6 - 1 ANA | LAK | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANA | 11 | 1 | 0.78 |
| 1 | LAK | 16 | 0 | 0.96 |
| 2 | ANA | 11 | 0 | 0.37 |
| 2 | LAK | 20 | 0 | 0.60 |
| 3 | ANA | 15 | 3 | 2.26 |
| 3 | LAK | 20 | 1 | 1.07 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.0 - 3.5
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