Arizona Coyotes at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2024-04-10 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Arizona Coyotes
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 62.4%
ARI: 37.6%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.04
ARI: 3.21
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 44%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • VAN at home vs ARI: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-10 | VAN 3 - 4 ARI | ARI | VAN |
| 2024-04-03 | ARI 1 - 2 VAN | VAN | ARI |
| 2024-01-18 | VAN 2 - 1 ARI | VAN | VAN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VAN | 17 | 0 | 0.99 |
| 1 | ARI | 8 | 0 | 0.47 |
| 2 | VAN | 16 | 0 | 0.99 |
| 2 | ARI | 13 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 3 | VAN | 19 | 0 | 1.35 |
| 3 | ARI | 5 | 0 | 0.42 |
| 4 | VAN | 3 | 1 | 0.59 |
| 4 | ARI | 4 | 1 | 0.56 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Arizona Coyotes
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2
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