Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-04-11 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

NYR: 49.8%

PHI: 50.2%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.13

PHI: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • NYR at home vs PHI: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	PHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2026-02-26	NYR 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	NYR
2026-01-17	PHI 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2025-12-20	NYR 5 - 4 PHI	NYR	NYR
2025-04-09	NYR 5 - 8 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	20	0	1.80
1	PHI	16	0	1.06
2	NYR	16	1	0.85
2	PHI	13	1	0.91
3	NYR	6	0	0.50
3	PHI	8	0	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1