Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-04-11 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 0 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 59.8%

WPG: 40.2%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.91

WPG: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • DAL at home vs WPG: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	DAL 3 - 0 WPG	DAL	DAL
2026-02-02	DAL 4 - 3 WPG	DAL	DAL
2025-12-09	WPG 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-09	WPG 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	WPG
2025-05-17	DAL 2 - 1 WPG	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	13	0	0.49
1	WPG	12	0	0.62
2	DAL	14	0	0.99
2	WPG	17	1	0.75
3	DAL	16	1	1.01
3	WPG	8	1	1.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 0 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.9 - 3.1