Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2024-04-11 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

LAK: 51.7%

CGY: 48.3%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.04

CGY: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • LAK at home vs CGY: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	CGY 3 - 1 LAK	CGY	CGY
2026-03-24	CGY 3 - 2 LAK	CGY	LAK
2026-02-28	LAK 2 - 0 CGY	LAK	LAK
2025-12-13	LAK 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	LAK
2025-04-17	LAK 1 - 5 CGY	CGY	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	13	0	0.95
1	CGY	11	0	0.41
2	LAK	20	0	1.38
2	CGY	11	0	0.33
3	LAK	13	1	1.27
3	CGY	14	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1