Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-04-12 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 51.1%
CAR: 48.9%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.86
CAR: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | STL | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.903 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • STL at home vs CAR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | STL 3 - 0 CAR | STL | STL |
| 2024-11-17 | CAR 4 - 1 STL | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-10-19 | STL 4 - 3 CAR | STL | STL |
| 2024-04-12 | STL 2 - 5 CAR | CAR | STL |
| 2024-01-06 | CAR 1 - 2 STL | STL | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:34 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 18:59 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 05:41 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 08:07 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 07:53 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:20 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:10 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.9 - 3.1