Arizona Coyotes at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-04-12 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 67.0%

ARI: 33.0%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.87

ARI: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • EDM at home vs ARI: 0-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-17	ARI 5 - 2 EDM	ARI	EDM
2024-04-12	EDM 2 - 3 ARI	ARI	EDM
2024-02-19	ARI 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	10	0	0.71
1	ARI	16	1	1.41
2	EDM	23	2	1.55
2	ARI	8	1	0.82
3	EDM	23	0	0.83
3	ARI	12	0	0.48
4	EDM	1	0	0.10
4	ARI	3	0	0.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.9 - 2.7