Arizona Coyotes at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-04-12 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 3 Arizona Coyotes
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 58.9%
ARI: 41.1%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.18
ARI: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
ARI
ARI: No goalie data
| Stat | EDM | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.73 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • EDM at home vs ARI: 0-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-17 | ARI 5 - 2 EDM | ARI | ARI |
| 2024-04-12 | EDM 2 - 3 ARI | ARI | EDM |
| 2024-02-19 | ARI 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | ARI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:20 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 01:49 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 05:37 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 01:12 | EDM | Goal |
| 4 | 01:35 | ARI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 3 Arizona Coyotes
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0