Arizona Coyotes at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-04-12 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 3 Arizona Coyotes
🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 64.5%
ARI: 35.5%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.31
ARI: 2.36
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 44%
Over 6.5: 31%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
ARI
ARI: No goalie data
| Stat | EDM | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.73 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs ARI: 0-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-17 | ARI 5 - 2 EDM | ARI | ARI |
| 2024-04-12 | EDM 2 - 3 ARI | ARI | EDM |
| 2024-02-19 | ARI 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:20 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 01:49 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 05:37 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 01:12 | EDM | Goal |
| 4 | 01:35 | ARI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 64.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 3 Arizona Coyotes
Expected: 3.3 - 2.4
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.