New York Islanders at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-04-13 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 2 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 46.9%

NYI: 53.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.07

NYI: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs NYI: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	NYR 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYR
2026-01-28	NYI 5 - 2 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-12-27	NYI 2 - 0 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-11-08	NYR 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYR
2025-04-10	NYI 2 - 9 NYR	NYR	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	22	1	1.67
1	NYI	14	0	0.66
2	NYR	17	0	1.20
2	NYI	18	0	1.02
3	NYR	25	0	0.90
3	NYI	15	1	1.14
4	NYR	2	0	0.10
4	NYI	5	0	0.23
5	NYR	3	2	1.83
5	NYI	2	0	0.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2