Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-04-13 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 0 - 7 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 63.1%
WPG: 36.9%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.21
WPG: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 29-6-6 | 0.918 SV% | 2.10 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-22-11 | 0.897 SV% | 2.80 GAA
| Stat | COL | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.909 | 0.920 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • COL at home vs WPG: 4-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | COL 2 - 4 WPG | WPG | COL |
| 2026-03-26 | WPG 2 - 3 COL | COL | WPG |
| 2026-03-14 | WPG 3 - 1 COL | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-12-19 | COL 3 - 2 WPG | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-22 | COL 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:59 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 08:02 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 15:07 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 15:17 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 10:19 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 15:11 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 16:33 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 0 - 7 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8
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