Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-04-13 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

FLA: 56.7%

BUF: 43.3%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.23

BUF: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • FLA at home vs BUF: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-27	FLA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-02-02	FLA 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-12	BUF 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-18	BUF 3 - 0 FLA	BUF	FLA
2025-04-12	FLA 3 - 2 BUF	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	19	2	1.62
1	BUF	9	1	0.71
2	FLA	16	0	0.76
2	BUF	15	0	1.00
3	FLA	22	0	1.16
3	BUF	6	0	0.14
4	FLA	3	0	0.43
4	BUF	2	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0