Montreal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-04-13 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 5 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

OTT: 66.9%

MTL: 33.1%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.77

MTL: 2.66

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 49%

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA

MTL

Jakub Dobes - 29-9-4 | 0.903 SV% | 2.75 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • OTT at home vs MTL: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-11	OTT 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	OTT
2026-01-17	OTT 5 - 6 MTL	MTL	OTT
2025-12-02	MTL 2 - 5 OTT	OTT	MTL
2025-11-01	MTL 4 - 3 OTT	MTL	MTL
2025-04-11	OTT 5 - 2 MTL	OTT	OTT

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	09:11	MTL	Goal
1	13:08	OTT	Goal
2	01:37	MTL	Goal
2	08:36	OTT	Goal
2	13:05	MTL	Goal
3	00:47	OTT	Goal
3	15:49	MTL	Goal
3	18:55	OTT	Goal
5	00:00	OTT	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 5 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.8 - 2.7