Boston Bruins at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2024-04-13 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 6 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 55.2%
BOS: 44.8%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.17
BOS: 3.30
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.889 SV% | 2.87 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 30-18-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.76 GAA
| Stat | PIT | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.888 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.936 | 0.971 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • PIT at home vs BOS: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | PIT 5 - 4 BOS | PIT | PIT |
| 2026-03-03 | BOS 2 - 1 PIT | BOS | BOS |
| 2026-01-11 | BOS 1 - 0 PIT | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-04-13 | PIT 1 - 4 BOS | BOS | PIT |
| 2025-03-01 | PIT 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 08:08 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 08:22 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 10:27 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 11:35 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 14:54 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 15:52 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 04:32 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 14:10 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 17:13 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 18:39 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 6 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.2 - 3.3
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