Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-04-13 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 2 - 6 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 52.6%
MIN: 47.4%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.69
MIN: 3.74
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-19-4 | 0.885 SV% | 3.60 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-14-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | SJS | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.870 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.894 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SJS at home vs MIN: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | SJS 4 - 3 MIN | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-11-11 | MIN 1 - 2 SJS | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-10-26 | MIN 5 - 6 SJS | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-04-09 | MIN 8 - 7 SJS | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-01-11 | SJS 1 - 3 MIN | MIN | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:19 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 09:32 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 16:51 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 14:23 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 15:52 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 19:04 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 19:51 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 01:46 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 2 - 6 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 2.7 - 3.7
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