Colorado Avalanche at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-04-14 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

VGK: 59.6%

COL: 40.4%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.10

COL: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 46% • VGK at home vs COL: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-26	VGK 2 - 1 COL	VGK	COL
2026-05-24	VGK 5 - 3 COL	VGK	COL
2026-05-22	COL 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	COL
2026-05-20	COL 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	COL
2026-04-11	COL 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	8	0	0.27
1	COL	16	0	0.61
2	VGK	18	0	0.75
2	COL	12	0	0.83
3	VGK	15	1	1.09
3	COL	5	0	0.17
4	VGK	4	0	0.23
4	COL	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0