Arizona Coyotes at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2024-04-14 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 6 - 5 Arizona Coyotes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 60.3%
ARI: 39.7%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.14
ARI: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
ARI
ARI: No goalie data
| Stat | CGY | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs ARI: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | CGY 6 - 5 ARI | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-01-16 | CGY 3 - 2 ARI | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-01-11 | ARI 2 - 6 CGY | CGY | ARI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:36 | ARI | Goal |
| 1 | 03:55 | ARI | Goal |
| 1 | 07:22 | ARI | Goal |
| 1 | 09:42 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 17:54 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 09:07 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 15:14 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 16:17 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 16:50 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 01:14 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 05:43 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 6 - 5 Arizona Coyotes
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9