Montreal Canadiens at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-04-15 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 5 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 60.8%
MTL: 39.2%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.62
MTL: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
| Stat | DET | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.903 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | 0.968 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • DET at home vs MTL: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | MTL 0 - 4 DET | DET | MTL |
| 2025-10-09 | DET 1 - 5 MTL | MTL | DET |
| 2025-04-08 | MTL 4 - 1 DET | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-01-23 | DET 4 - 2 MTL | DET | DET |
| 2024-12-21 | MTL 5 - 1 DET | MTL | MTL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:25 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 06:15 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 08:11 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 05:15 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 15:26 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 15:59 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 10:38 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:43 | DET | Goal |
| 4 | 04:35 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 5 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.6 - 2.9