TBL vs BUF - 2024-04-15
2024-04-15 • Amalie Arena
TBL 2 - 4 BUF
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 59.3%
BUF: 40.7%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.06
BUF: 2.65
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 18-7-2 | 0.912 SV% | 2.33 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:26 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 02:27 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 05:08 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 16:13 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 09:39 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 09:54 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
TBL 2 - 4 BUF
Expected: 3.1 - 2.7