Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-04-15 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 0 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

WSH: 58.4%

BOS: 41.6%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.48

BOS: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • WSH at home vs BOS: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	WSH 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	WSH
2026-03-07	BOS 3 - 1 WSH	BOS	BOS
2025-10-08	WSH 1 - 3 BOS	BOS	WSH
2025-04-01	BOS 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-12-31	WSH 3 - 1 BOS	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	15	1	0.98
1	BOS	6	1	0.26
2	WSH	22	1	1.21
2	BOS	6	0	0.45
3	WSH	11	4	2.38
3	BOS	12	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 2 - 0 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8