Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-04-15 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 0 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 47.4%

OTT: 52.6%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.17

OTT: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NYR at home vs OTT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-23	NYR 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-01-14	NYR 4 - 8 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-12-04	OTT 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	OTT
2025-03-08	OTT 4 - 3 NYR	OTT	OTT
2025-01-21	NYR 5 - 0 OTT	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	17	1	1.28
1	OTT	13	0	0.50
2	NYR	15	1	1.19
2	OTT	15	1	0.97
3	NYR	16	0	0.93
3	OTT	11	0	0.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 0 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2