Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-04-16 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

VAN: 57.3%

CGY: 42.7%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.52

CGY: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 36%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • VAN at home vs CGY: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CGY 7 - 3 VAN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-23	VAN 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-10-09	VAN 5 - 1 CGY	VAN	VAN
2025-03-12	CGY 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	CGY
2024-12-31	CGY 3 - 1 VAN	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	16	2	1.76
1	CGY	13	0	0.57
2	VAN	14	0	0.87
2	CGY	18	1	0.97
3	VAN	14	1	1.24
3	CGY	20	0	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1