Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-04-17 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

NYI: 51.4%

PIT: 48.6%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.35

PIT: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 56%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • NYI at home vs PIT: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	NYI 3 - 8 PIT	PIT	NYI
2026-02-03	NYI 5 - 4 PIT	NYI	PIT
2025-10-09	PIT 4 - 3 NYI	PIT	PIT
2025-03-18	PIT 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	PIT
2024-12-29	PIT 3 - 2 NYI	PIT	NYI

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	04:56	NYI	Goal
1	18:29	NYI	Goal
2	06:14	PIT	Goal
2	13:19	NYI	Goal
2	14:37	PIT	Goal
2	19:44	NYI	Goal
3	01:36	NYI	Goal
3	10:56	NYI	Goal
3	14:27	NYI	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9