St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-04-17 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 2 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

DAL: 69.8%

STL: 30.2%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.86

STL: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • DAL at home vs STL: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	DAL 5 - 4 STL	DAL	DAL
2026-01-27	STL 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	STL
2026-01-23	DAL 3 - 2 STL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-18	STL 3 - 1 DAL	STL	STL
2025-03-02	DAL 6 - 3 STL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	18	1	1.58
1	STL	10	0	0.37
2	DAL	21	1	1.22
2	STL	14	0	0.67
3	DAL	17	1	1.84
3	STL	11	1	0.78
4	DAL	5	1	0.66
4	STL	2	0	0.31
5	DAL	3	1	0.93
5	STL	3	0	0.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 2 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.9 - 2.8