Edmonton Oilers at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions
2024-04-17 • Mullett Arena
Arizona Coyotes 5 - 2 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ARI: 43.9%
EDM: 56.1%
Expected Goals
ARI: 2.90
EDM: 3.16
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ARI
ARI: No goalie data
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | ARI | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ARI at home vs EDM: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-17 | ARI 5 - 2 EDM | ARI | EDM |
| 2024-04-12 | EDM 2 - 3 ARI | ARI | EDM |
| 2024-02-19 | ARI 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:18 | ARI | Goal |
| 1 | 13:06 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:05 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 04:55 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 08:01 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 14:27 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 15:45 | ARI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Arizona Coyotes 5 - 2 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.9 - 3.2
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