Edmonton Oilers at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2024-04-17 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 5 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 39.1%

EDM: 60.9%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.87

EDM: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ARI at home vs EDM: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-17	ARI 5 - 2 EDM	ARI	EDM
2024-04-12	EDM 2 - 3 ARI	ARI	EDM
2024-02-19	ARI 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	9	0	0.56
1	EDM	17	0	0.90
2	ARI	12	0	0.68
2	EDM	13	1	0.88
3	ARI	11	1	1.48
3	EDM	17	0	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 5 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0