Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2024-04-18 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 60.3%
ANA: 39.7%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.08
ANA: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 40%
Over 6.5: 29%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
| Stat | VGK | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.840 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.871 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • VGK at home vs ANA: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | ANA 4 - 3 VGK | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-11-22 | ANA 4 - 3 VGK | ANA | VGK |
| 2025-11-08 | VGK 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | VGK |
| 2024-12-23 | VGK 3 - 1 ANA | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-12-04 | ANA 1 - 4 VGK | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:25 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 18:47 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 00:51 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 01:20 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:45 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8
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