Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-04-18 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 69.2%

ANA: 30.8%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.96

ANA: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • VGK at home vs ANA: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-14	ANA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-12	VGK 3 - 2 ANA	VGK	VGK
2026-05-10	ANA 4 - 3 VGK	ANA	ANA
2026-05-08	ANA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-06	VGK 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	14	1	1.18
1	ANA	5	0	0.27
2	VGK	16	1	0.96
2	ANA	12	1	0.87
3	VGK	15	2	1.28
3	ANA	14	1	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 69.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 4.0 - 3.1