Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2024-04-24 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 2 - 4 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

TOR: 60.3%

BOS: 39.7%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.33

BOS: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • TOR at home vs BOS: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	BOS 2 - 4 TOR	TOR	BOS
2025-11-11	BOS 5 - 3 TOR	BOS	BOS
2025-11-08	TOR 3 - 5 BOS	BOS	TOR
2025-02-25	BOS 4 - 5 TOR	TOR	TOR
2025-01-04	TOR 6 - 4 BOS	TOR	TOR

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
2	13:10	TOR	Goal
2	17:37	TOR	Goal
3	01:07	BOS	Goal
3	11:25	TOR	Goal
3	11:53	BOS	Goal
3	19:24	BOS	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 2 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8