Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-05-04 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

BOS: 51.5%

TOR: 48.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.64

TOR: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 36%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • BOS at home vs TOR: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	BOS 2 - 4 TOR	TOR	BOS
2025-11-11	BOS 5 - 3 TOR	BOS	BOS
2025-11-08	TOR 3 - 5 BOS	BOS	TOR
2025-02-25	BOS 4 - 5 TOR	TOR	TOR
2025-01-04	TOR 6 - 4 BOS	TOR	TOR

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
3	09:01	TOR	Goal
3	10:22	BOS	Goal
4	01:54	BOS	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 2.6 - 3.1