Washington Capitals at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-04-21 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 1 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

NYR: 53.7%

WSH: 46.3%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.06

WSH: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs WSH: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	NYR 8 - 1 WSH	NYR	NYR
2025-12-31	WSH 6 - 3 NYR	WSH	WSH
2025-12-23	WSH 3 - 7 NYR	NYR	WSH
2025-10-12	NYR 0 - 1 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-03-05	NYR 2 - 3 WSH	WSH	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	14	0	0.73
1	WSH	7	0	0.38
2	NYR	15	0	0.72
2	WSH	18	0	0.81
3	NYR	20	2	1.34
3	WSH	8	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 1 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3