New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2024-04-20 • PNC Arena
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 1 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 72.9%
NYI: 27.1%
Expected Goals
CAR: 4.04
NYI: 2.10
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | CAR | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.919 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • CAR at home vs NYI: 7-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | NYI 1 - 2 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-04-04 | CAR 4 - 3 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-10-30 | CAR 6 - 2 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-30 | CAR 6 - 4 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-25 | NYI 3 - 2 CAR | NYI | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:35 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 08:20 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 03:44 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:28 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 72.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 1 New York Islanders
Expected: 4.0 - 2.1
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