Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-04-25 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

NYI: 40.4%

CAR: 59.6%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.89

CAR: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NYI at home vs CAR: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	17	0	0.61
1	CAR	14	0	0.65
2	NYI	12	1	0.62
2	CAR	18	0	0.57
3	NYI	18	1	1.12
3	CAR	8	0	0.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0