Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-04-27 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 37.6%
CAR: 62.4%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.80
CAR: 3.51
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | NYI | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.919 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • NYI at home vs CAR: 3-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | NYI 1 - 2 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-04-04 | CAR 4 - 3 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-10-30 | CAR 6 - 2 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-30 | CAR 6 - 4 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-25 | NYI 3 - 2 CAR | NYI | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:00 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 10:10 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 01:38 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 14:08 | NYI | Goal |
| 5 | 01:24 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.8 - 3.5
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