Vegas Golden Knights at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-04-22 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 66.8%

VGK: 33.2%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.88

VGK: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 8.1

Over 5.5: 88%

Over 6.5: 78%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • DAL at home vs VGK: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	DAL 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-10	DAL 2 - 1 VGK	DAL	DAL
2026-01-29	VGK 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	VGK
2025-01-28	VGK 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	VGK
2025-01-24	DAL 4 - 3 VGK	DAL	DAL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	01:23	VGK	Goal
1	08:27	VGK	Goal
1	16:07	VGK	Goal
1	17:51	VGK	Goal
1	18:29	VGK	Goal
2	01:06	VGK	Goal
3	11:46	VGK	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.9 - 2.9