Vegas Golden Knights at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-05-05 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 2 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

DAL: 71.6%

VGK: 28.4%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.37

VGK: 2.15

Total Goals

Median: 3.9

Over 5.5: 28%

Over 6.5: 16%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • DAL at home vs VGK: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	DAL 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-10	DAL 2 - 1 VGK	DAL	DAL
2026-01-29	VGK 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	VGK
2025-01-28	VGK 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	VGK
2025-01-24	DAL 4 - 3 VGK	DAL	DAL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	14:34	DAL	Goal
2	15:25	DAL	Goal
3	00:44	DAL	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 2 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.4 - 2.1