Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2024-04-21 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 7 - 6 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 45.5%
COL: 54.5%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.22
COL: 3.19
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
| Stat | WPG | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.951 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.920 | 0.909 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • WPG at home vs COL: 5-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | COL 2 - 4 WPG | WPG | COL |
| 2026-03-26 | WPG 2 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-03-14 | WPG 3 - 1 COL | WPG | COL |
| 2025-12-19 | COL 3 - 2 WPG | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-22 | COL 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:10 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 08:02 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 11:57 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 14:47 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 15:05 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 15:53 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 08:57 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 03:31 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 05:51 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 06:29 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 08:54 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 12:24 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 19:30 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 13.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 7 - 6 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2
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