Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-04-30 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 6 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

WPG: 45.9%

COL: 54.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.06

COL: 3.62

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs COL: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	COL 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	COL
2026-03-26	WPG 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-14	WPG 3 - 1 COL	WPG	COL
2025-12-19	COL 3 - 2 WPG	COL	COL
2025-01-22	COL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	11	1	1.47
1	COL	17	0	0.66
2	WPG	25	0	1.24
2	COL	15	1	1.34
3	WPG	14	0	0.67
3	COL	9	2	1.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 6 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.1 - 3.6