Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-04-24 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 5 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 61.5%
LAK: 38.5%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.50
LAK: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | EDM | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • EDM at home vs LAK: 8-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | LAK | ||
| 2026-01-10 | EDM 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | EDM |
| 2025-05-01 | EDM 6 - 4 LAK | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-04-29 | LAK 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | LAK |
| 2025-04-27 | EDM 4 - 3 LAK | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:19 | LAK | Goal |
| 1 | 14:57 | LAK | Goal |
| 1 | 17:33 | LAK | Goal |
| 1 | 18:02 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 07:51 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 10:33 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 01:46 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 03:23 | EDM | Goal |
| 4 | 02:07 | LAK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 5 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9