Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-05-01 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

EDM: 56.5%

LAK: 43.5%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.97

LAK: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 86% • EDM at home vs LAK: 8-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	10	0	0.57
1	LAK	12	0	0.32
2	EDM	18	3	2.34
2	LAK	9	0	0.67
3	EDM	8	0	0.71
3	LAK	12	1	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9