Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-05-10 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 6 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 52.2%

FLA: 47.8%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.88

FLA: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 37%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • BOS at home vs FLA: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	FLA 2 - 1 BOS	FLA	FLA
2026-02-04	FLA 5 - 4 BOS	FLA	FLA
2025-10-21	BOS 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-11	BOS 3 - 2 FLA	BOS	BOS
2025-01-11	FLA 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	5	0	0.11
1	FLA	18	2	1.18
2	BOS	10	0	0.60
2	FLA	15	1	1.06
3	BOS	12	0	0.98
3	FLA	14	1	1.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 6 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0