Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2024-05-14 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 1 - 2 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 63.5%
BOS: 36.5%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.77
BOS: 2.59
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | FLA | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.910 | 0.872 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • FLA at home vs BOS: 4-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | FLA 2 - 1 BOS | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-02-04 | FLA 5 - 4 BOS | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-10-21 | BOS 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-11 | BOS 3 - 2 FLA | BOS | FLA |
| 2025-01-11 | FLA 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:49 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 06:23 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 10:25 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 1 - 2 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.8 - 2.6
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