Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-05-17 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 1 - 2 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 53.2%

FLA: 46.8%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.70

FLA: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • BOS at home vs FLA: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	FLA 2 - 1 BOS	FLA	FLA
2026-02-04	FLA 5 - 4 BOS	FLA	FLA
2025-10-21	BOS 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-11	BOS 3 - 2 FLA	BOS	BOS
2025-01-11	FLA 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	10	1	0.77
1	FLA	15	0	0.91
2	BOS	9	0	0.74
2	FLA	16	0	0.92
3	BOS	11	1	0.86
3	FLA	13	1	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 1 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.7 - 3.1